2020-10-10

中國「和平崛起」的終結 不能縱容專制侵略者

- Larry Diamond: The End of China’s “Peaceful Rise”

試譯幾段這篇重要文章(附原文):
拉里-戴雅門:中國「和平崛起」的終結 
希特勒抹殺1938年9月的《慕尼黑協議》,掠奪整個捷克斯洛伐克,就像習近平否定了承諾到2047年香港自治的《中英聯合聲明》一樣。美國一位極受尊敬的中國學者最近對我說:"我把現在的香港看成是捷克斯洛伐克,攻打台灣就相當於希特勒入侵波蘭。" 
一廂情願的人認為希特勒會滿足於捷克斯洛伐克的一部分(蘇台德地區);然後是滿足於整個國家。但接著他更入侵了波蘭,之後就是人類歷史上最具破壞性的戰爭。 
《慕尼黑協議》從此成為國際綏靖和失策的代名詞,是有其原因的。沒有比這更重要的歷史教訓了:對專制侵略者姑息縱容,乃下下之策。東亞目前面對的危機亦正如此。這就是為何美國堅決支持香港的自治和民主權利如此重要;為何我們必須對那些侵犯這些權利的中國和香港領導人實施嚴厲的制裁;為何我們必須與印度-太平洋地區的盟友合作,抗衡中國的欺凌和恐嚇,並確保開放的海上通道和和平解決爭端;為何我們必須讓中國領導人清楚知道,用約翰-肯尼迪的話說,我們將在地球上這個至關重要的地區,「付出任何代價」,和「肩承任何負擔......以確保自由的生存和成功」。  

Larry Diamond: The end of China's "Peaceful Rise" 
Hitler’s seizure of the whole of Czechoslovakia, obliterating the September 1938 Munich Agreement like Xi negated the Sino-British Joint Declaration promising Hong Kong autonomy through 2047. One of America’s most respected China scholars recently told me, “I look at Hong Kong now as Czechoslovakia, and an assault on Taiwan would be the equivalent of Hitler’s invasion of Poland.” 
Wishful thinkers thought Hitler would be satisfied with part of Czechoslovakia (the Sudetenland). And then the whole thing. But then he invaded Poland, and the rest was the history of the most destructive war in human history. 
There is a reason why the Munich Agreement has ever since been synonymous with international appeasement and blunder. There is no more important historical lesson than the folly of appeasing an authoritarian aggressor. This is what is at stake now in East Asia. That is why it so important for the United States to stand resolute in support of Hong Kong’s autonomy and democratic rights; why we must impose serious sanctions on Chinese and Hong Kong leaders who are responsible for the assault on those rights; why we must work with our allies throughout the Indo-Pacific region to counter Chinese bullying and intimidation and ensure open sea lanes and peaceful resolution of disputes; and why we must leave no doubt in the minds of China’s leaders that we will, in the words of John F. Kennedy, “pay any price” and “bear any burden . . . in order to assure the survival and success of liberty” in this vitally important part of the globe.

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